Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.779261 0.989026 1.223581 1.502448 1.822132 2.174454 2.589366
2025-07-20 0.496771 0.762915 1.096981 1.534047 2.077936 2.720348 3.524120
2025-07-27 0.299837 0.570256 0.953619 1.503300 2.238891 3.159208 4.366972
2025-08-03 0.177202 0.429107 0.834981 1.470205 2.377076 3.568050 5.192355
2025-08-10 0.108641 0.340453 0.764184 1.481688 2.563453 4.040647 6.116517
2025-08-17 0.058757 0.255580 0.671967 1.438104 2.657496 4.385708 6.882480
2025-08-24 0.037538 0.219800 0.654423 1.505615 2.913713 4.961124 7.974567
2025-08-31 0.020107 0.176244 0.606656 1.510433 3.068344 5.394419 8.883230
2025-09-07 0.012766 0.158870 0.608994 1.602250 3.363257 6.039428 10.103304
2025-09-14 0.007056 0.138160 0.596236 1.661694 3.606000 6.613643 11.237237
2025-09-21 0.003138 0.115475 0.569780 1.688585 3.792818 7.107603 12.266962
2025-09-28 0.000807 0.089056 0.520886 1.660304 3.879680 7.448714 13.081361
2025-10-05 0.000141 0.073124 0.497721 1.685344 4.065378 7.956047 14.163426
2025-10-12 0.000002 0.058887 0.472604 1.701540 4.235078 8.443487 15.228580
2025-10-19 NaN 0.042305 0.426333 1.659492 4.292802 8.752962 16.035126
2025-10-26 NaN 0.029647 0.384692 1.619530 4.348937 9.058867 16.840883
2025-11-02 NaN 0.022622 0.364210 1.629474 4.500250 9.523299 17.895579
2025-11-09 NaN 0.014611 0.325590 1.581770 4.532288 9.788568 18.648437
2025-11-16 NaN 0.012714 0.328794 1.653196 4.808337 10.470045 20.056163
2025-11-23 NaN 0.009074 0.310641 1.658019 4.946624 10.920564 21.111709
2025-11-30 NaN 0.008492 0.322294 1.755685 5.282940 11.716666 22.719624
2025-12-07 NaN 0.007133 0.323000 1.818872 5.548686 12.396572 24.154559
2025-12-14 NaN 0.005318 0.313431 1.847436 5.741391 12.953905 25.404159